Dr Genevieve Dingle, University of Queensland - 12 November 2021 - 1
Community Support and Services Committee
29 Nov 2021
Correspondence

Elizabeth Mair, Dr Moon Halder, Dr Niamh McNamara, Dr Mhairi Bowe, Dr Blerina

Kellezi, Dr Juliet Wakefield, Dr Iain Wilson & Dr Clifford Stevenson NOTTINGHAM TRENT UNIVERSITY Sept 2018

AGE FRIENDLY NOTTINGHAMSHIRE PILOT EVALUATION – SUMMARY

DOCUMENT

1

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

1 There is overwhelming evidence of the negative impact of loneliness on the health and

wellbeing of the population. The elderly are especially vulnerable and, while there have

been extensive policy-based initiatives to tackle loneliness throughout the UK, these are

rarely informed by a theoretical framework or systematic research evidence.

2 Academic research illustrates the importance of social relationships (and group activities

in particular) to the health and wellbeing of communities and their residents. Studies of

the use of support groups show substantial and sustained benefits to people’s health. On

this principle, varieties of models of ‘Social Prescribing’ have been developed to

capitalise on these benefits and improve the social connectivity and health of vulnerable

populations.

3 Likewise, volunteering has been found to be an effective form of social activity in

enhancing the wellbeing of particularly engaged community members. In part, this is

due to the impact on volunteers’ sense of personal self-efficacy and self-esteem and in

part because of the social relationships and group activities involved. However, this

evidence is rarely included in the development of Social Prescribing initiatives.

4 Age Friendly Nottinghamshire is a unique approach to Social Prescribing which

combines a resident-centred Social Prescribing model with a programme of community

activation and volunteering. Neighbourhood coordinators work organically within

communities to identify individuals’ social needs, support volunteers to develop local

initiatives, and scaffold or deliver local groups and activities. The goal is to deliver a

more integrated, active and healthy community, thereby reducing the burden on health

and social care resources.

5 Our evaluation has systematically charted the impact of these activities on those

involved by:

2

5.1 Mapping the activities of AFN neighbourhood coordinators across the target

communities of Beeston and Ladybrook

5.2 Conducting a community-wide survey assessing the levels of loneliness,

engagement in AFN activities, levels of volunteering and levels of health and

wellbeing

5.3 Surveying AFN beneficiaries at an initial timepoint, followed up 4 months later,

giving us an assessment of the impact of AFN on individuals’ health, wellbeing

and service use over this time

5.4 Interviewing beneficiaries of AFN activities, including both volunteers and

recipients of support

5.5 From this work we are able to give a clear and comprehensive assessment of the

effectiveness of the AFN approach, its impact upon these target communities.

6 Our mapping exercise indicates a range of groups and activities supported by AFN

across both areas which serve to reach a wide variety of residents. These activities were

organically developed and resident-led rather than programmatic or universal in

delivery. The maximum number of service users at any one time was estimated at 258,

with an additional maximum of 62 long-term volunteers and 77 ‘Movers and Shakers’

supported to set up and lead group activities. Neighbourhood coordinators supported 32

groups across the two areas and liaised with 364 businesses and organisations.

7 Our community survey indicates a strong relationship between social isolation,

loneliness and poor health in both target areas, which match patterns across the UK. The

beneficial effects of social support are more pronounced in Beeston than Ladybrook,

suggesting an inequality in community cohesion between the two areas and a greater

need for intervention in Ladybrook. Across both areas there were low levels of

participation in AFN initiatives and very low levels of awareness of AFN in Ladybrook.

3

8 Our interviews with beneficiaries indicate the profound effects that loneliness has on

residents, especially those who are older or have complex health needs as well as the

remarkable impact that AFN has had upon their lives. Those who took up a volunteering

role reported both increased social integration and a sense of contributing to the

community, both of which they experienced as positive.

9 Our longitudinal survey of beneficiaries of AFN showed that for all who participated in

the survey at the initial timepoint, there was already strong associations between their

participations in AFN, their sense of community integration and their wellbeing. (The

follow-up occurred within a shorter period than we would expect to see evidence of

health improvement). Yet still, we see some evidence of improvements in our main

measure of health.

10 Our cost analysis shows that, after only three months, participants evidenced some

reduction in their usage of health and social care services. With some caution, we can

suggest that there is likely to be an overall return on investment from the programme, in

the region of £1.26 per £1 spent. In addition, the increased level of volunteering and

uptake of community activities within each area was estimated as being as much as

£198k.

11 Overall, the outcomes of AFN in these two pilot areas compare favourably to many

other similar initiatives elsewhere and point to the enormous potential of volunteer-

based community development to improve health and wellbeing through reducing

loneliness.

4

Contents 1. Introduction ............................................................................................................................ 5

2. Background ............................................................................................................................ 6

3. The Age Friendly Nottinghamshire Pilot ............................................................................... 7

4. The NTU Evaluation .............................................................................................................. 8

5. Service Mapping Study .......................................................................................................... 9

6. Community Survey Analysis ............................................................................................... 11

Community Life Survey Analysis ........................................................................................ 11

Beeston and Ladybrook Community Survey Analysis ........................................................ 11

Volunteering analysis ........................................................................................................... 11

7. Longitudinal Survey Analysis.............................................................................................. 13

8. Interview study..................................................................................................................... 14

Residents’ analysis ............................................................................................................... 14

Volunteers’ Analysis ............................................................................................................ 14

9. Costings Analysis................................................................................................................. 16

10. Discussion and Conclusion ................................................................................................ 17

5

1. Introduction

• Increased awareness of the importance of social factors in health, alongside economic

pressures to deliver care with the help of the third sector, has led to intense interest in

‘Social Prescribing’ as a way of providing sustainable care within community

settings.

• Age Friendly Nottinghamshire (AFN) is a community-based Social Prescribing

approach to tackling loneliness which employs community activation techniques to

address the needs of isolated adults by linking them to groups and activities.

• NTU have been commissioned to evaluate this initiative. The team custom designed a

large-scale multi-method evaluation approach and the current report details their

framework and the evidence they have collated.

• On this basis, this report outlines the extent to which AFN is achieving its goals and

sheds light on the processes through which it works.

6

2. Background

• The UK population is ageing and older adults are especially vulnerable to loneliness due

to a range of personal and social factors which can undermine their ability to connect with

others. Loneliness has a variety of impacts upon people’s mental and physical health with

effects on health and mortality comparable to those of smoking and obesity.

• Government policies targeting loneliness have recognised the extent of this challenge and

have identified the need to provide inclusive communities for older adults, identify the

community supports that would address their specific needs, and to assist and enable

older adults to self-manage their own challenges in order to remain socially integrated.

However, these policies have rarely been based on sound theoretical principles or

systematic reviews of research evidence.

• Social Prescribing is one form of intervention which aims to tackle loneliness by linking

participants into social networks within their local communities. A body of evidence has

emerged attesting to the positive impacts of Social Prescribing initiatives upon the health,

wellbeing and health service usage of participants, though this provides less detail on the

reasons why social relations have these positive effects.

• Volunteering is another form of loneliness intervention which has been found to have

particularly pronounced effects on participants who are able and willing to actively

participate in local activities. This has been found to have a positive impact upon health

and wellbeing by improving the self-efficacy and self-esteem of participants as well as by

enhancing their social networks and sense of community belonging.

7

3. The Age Friendly Nottinghamshire Pilot

• Nottinghamshire County Council have developed a model of care through which

community capacity is developed and social action encouraged. The Age Friendly

Nottinghamshire Pilot does this by drawing on the strengths of both Social

Prescribing and volunteering approaches to tackling loneliness.

• The AFN pilot runs in two strategically selected areas. Beeston is a university town of

21,000 residents on the outskirts of Nottingham in which 20.1% of households consist

of single pensioners living alone. Ladybrook is an ex-mining town in Mansfield of

around 4,300 residents in which 14.3% of households consist of single pensioners

living alone. Both areas are considered to have a high risk of loneliness at

neighbourhood level for individuals aged 65 and above.

• The aims of the AFN initiative include using local knowledge to engage and empower

local communities to meet the needs of their isolated residents.

• The expected outcomes of the initiative are to reduce loneliness and its associated

healthcare costs in the target areas as well as to increase connectedness between

residents, local community organisations and agencies in the area.

8

4. The NTU Evaluation

• NTU conducted a large-scale multi-method evaluation of the AFN programme to provide

academic-grade evidence of the efficacy of the programme. Their work is modelled on

the most comprehensive and esteemed Social Prescribing evaluations available to date.

• Their work comprises four interlinked studies which each capture a facet of the AFN

initiative and allow an overall assessment of its impact.

• A longitudinal mapping exercise captured interview data from the Neighbourhood

Coordinators at three time-points over a 9-month period. Neighbourhood Coordinators

reported the scale and scope of their activities as well as the number of beneficiaries

within the communities.

• A community level survey was developed on the basis of an analysis of the Cabinet

Office’s Community Life Survey, which illustrates a nation-wide relationship between

community identity, support, loneliness and wellbeing. NTU’s custom-made survey

explored these factors and in addition investigated the impact of social inclusion and

volunteering activity on the health and wellbeing of residents.

• A longitudinal survey examined the experiences of 64 AFN beneficiaries at an initial

timepoint, then 22 of these at a second timepoint 4.4 months afterwards. Analysis of the

changes in their health and service usage at each timepoint provided data for our cost

analysis of the programme.

• An interview study allowed us to explore the experiences of beneficiaries of the AFN

initiative. We interviewed those participating in AFN activities as well as those who had

adopted a volunteering role and analysed how they reported the impacts upon their

wellbeing.

9

5. Service Mapping Study

• We talked to the AFN Neighbourhood Coordinators at three timepoints over the

course of the intervention to ask about their activities. Timepoints were three months

apart and coordinators were asked to report on activities which had been undertaken

in the interim.

• NCs reported that up to 258 individuals were engaged with AFN activities at any one

point and that one-off events had been attended by 1579 participants. Of these

beneficiaries, 208 of the long-term engaged participants, and 205 of the one-off

participants, were local residents.

• Neighbourhood Coordinators signposted 316 individuals to groups and activities over

the course of the evaluation. These beneficiaries reported being motivated primarily

by social isolation, but also by a lack of local activities and the desire to develop a

sense of local community.

• Neighbourhood Coordinators worked with a maximum of 62 volunteers at any one

timepoint and engaged with a total of 172 one-off volunteers. These reported being

motivated by a sense of community, wanting to develop a sense of purpose, and

wishing to gain experience for future employment. They also signposted 87 of these

volunteers to other groups and activities.

• Neighbourhood Coordinators also identified individuals who were willing and able to

set up new groups and lead activities. There were a maximum of 77 of these ‘movers

and shakers’ at any one time and they were motivated primarily by a sense of

community and a desire to improve their own wellbeing. 85 of these were signposted

to other groups or activities.

• In total, 32 groups and activities were estimated to have been either created or

supported by the Neighbourhood Coordinators in Beeston and in Ladybrook across

10

the three time points of data collection. NCs provided support through developing

ideas with groups, assisting members to attend and providing administrative support.

• Neighbourhood Coordinators had ongoing engagement with 364 businesses and

organisations at any one time over the course of the programme with an additional

198 one-off contacts with other organisations. 110 businesses were signposted to

community groups and activities, with 71 accepting the referral.

• In addition, Neighbourhood Coordinators worked with additional organisations and

initiatives across the Ladybrook and Beeston areas, including libraries, museums, and

educational services, places of worship, volunteering organisations, arts organisations,

health organisations, and council services.

• While this data relies on self-report estimates provided by Neighbourhood

Coordinators, and is vulnerable to duplication between Coordinators and across

timepoints, it does reflect a very high level of activity undertaken by the AFN staff.

11

6. Community Survey Analysis

Community Life Survey Analysis

• Our analysis of the Cabinet Office’s Community Life Survey shows strong

relationships between community identity, social support, loneliness and wellbeing

across England. This forms the basis for the rationale for our study and suggests that

insofar as these same factors impact upon loneliness in Beeston and Ladybrook they

are likely to be relevant in other settings across the nation.

Beeston and Ladybrook Community Survey Analysis

• Our community level survey elicited a substantial response across the target areas

with 619 survey responses (452 from Beeston and 167 from Ladybrook)

• Awareness of AFN varied widely between the two areas with 55% of Beeston

respondents being aware of the initiative, but only 5% of respondents in Ladybrook.

• However, awareness of the specific activities which have been directly or indirectly

supported by AFN was high across both areas with 50% of Beeston participants and

44% of Ladybrook participants being aware of at least one AFN supported activity

• Across both areas, participation in these activities was low, with only 4.3% of

Ladybrook participants and 2% of Beeston respondents having attended an activity.

• Analyses of survey responses showed strong relationships between the variables

measured, with community identification associated with better health and wellbeing

and loneliness associated with poorer health and wellbeing in both areas.

• Our advanced analyses replicated the Community Life Survey findings, showing how

community identity has positive effects on health and wellbeing by reducing

loneliness. This provides strong evidence for the generality of these patterns and for

the relevance of the current findings for the wider UK.

12

• However, our analyses also showed asymmetries between the areas with social

support predicting lower loneliness and better health in Beeston, but not Ladybrook.

This is thought to reflect the differences in levels of ‘social capital’ in the two areas,

whereby a more cohesive and proactive community in Beeston benefits the health of

its members more directly than the less cohesive Ladybrook community. This

suggests that community identity is likely to be very important for the wellbeing of

Ladybrook residents, but that much more remains to be done to support and improve

the social relations between residents in this area.

Volunteering analysis

• Our analysis of the levels of volunteering in Ladybrook and Beeston again show low

levels of participation in AFN activities among our sample. However, a good number

of respondents (16%) do volunteer for a wide variety of reasons, most often to enact

their values and for social motivations. Volunteering for career reasons was least

associated with levels of engagement or activity.

• Our analysis of the effects of volunteering shows that overall participating in

volunteering is associated with stronger social relationships, feelings of community

identification and feelings of being able to collectively cope with adversity. Positive

experiences of volunteering are also associated with improved health and wellbeing.

• Our advanced analyses show how volunteering behaviour improves health. In the first

instance volunteering behaviour increases a sense of identity with the community

which in turn predicts better health. Secondly, volunteering also increases the level of

social support in the community which both improves wellbeing directly and also

through the increase in a sense of collective coping or ‘efficacy’ among community

members.

• Overall, this work indicates that volunteering has a pronounced effect on individual

and collective wellbeing within these communities.

13

7. Longitudinal Survey Analysis

• In order to assess the impact of participation in AFN activities, we conducted a

longitudinal survey of beneficiaries. A small sample of 64 participants completed our

survey at an initial timepoint and 22 re-completed this between 4-6 months later.

• Participants were predominantly between 60 and 70 years of age and typically

attended a group or activity once a week.

• At baseline, the 64 participants’ survey data showed similar patterns to those found in

the community survey, with their health and wellbeing related to their community

identity, social support and loneliness. In addition, those who reported volunteering

for AFN showed a higher level of self-reported wellbeing.

• We examined the change in these variables over the period between the first and

second timepoints. Though we would not expect an intervention of this type to have

substantial effects in such a short timeframe we did find improvements in the main

measure of wellbeing, the EQ5D. On all dimensions of this measure, some

participants improved, with no participants evidencing a decline. While the data from

this very small sample needs to be treated with caution, we interpret this as the first

‘green shoots’ of the impact of the intervention.

14

8. Interview study

Residents’ analysis

• With regard to the experience of isolation, the qualitative analysis demonstrates that

isolation was recognised as being experienced by both participants and others in their

communities. This is reflective of isolation being considered as a primary reason why

Neighbourhood Coordinators felt residents engaged with the service in the Service

Mapping Study. Ageing was considered to be significant in the experience of

isolation, both in the sense of ageing bringing associated health issues, but also that

there was a feeling of becoming ‘too old’. This feeling created a barrier to

involvement which was considered to be challenging to address, and it was suggested

by interviewees that keeping active and involved in the community may counter this

feeling.

• The recognition of the importance of connections, accompanied by the comparison

between the isolation experienced before interviewees’ involvement in groups and the

social connection experienced after involvement, highlighted that engagement with

groups and activities promoted a sense of belonging. Attending groups allowed the

opportunity to form and subsequently develop connections, with residents

acknowledging the reciprocal support experienced.

• As reflected in the Service Mapping Study, listening to the needs of groups and

communities was raised as important for the success of the development and

continuation of groups. The success of a group was considered to be related to the

group addressing a community need and gaining the support and interest of others. A

barrier to the development of groups was that it required support, and yet there was

the perception that only the most active within communities would be willing to lead

15

group development. It was raised that for groups to be sustainable, there is a need to

encourage others to provide input.

Volunteer’s Analysis

• The analysis demonstrates that volunteering was regarded by participants to be rewarding,

both on a personal level, in that participants valued and enjoyed their time spent

volunteering, and on a motivational level, with participants expressing the desire to make

a difference through volunteering for the benefit of the community.

• Groups were recognised as important for providing the opportunity for older people to

connect with others. Through their voluntary work, participants emphasised their sense

of connection to the community and the need to work together for the community.

• As raised within the Service Mapping Study, participants felt it is important to network,

develop their skills as volunteers, and to access funding, in order to address barriers to the

sustainability of the groups. It was highlighted that AFN facilitated access to such

resources.

16

9. Costings Analysis

• In order to calculate the economic impact of AFN we conducted an analysis of the impact

of the programme on the beneficiaries who completed our longitudinal survey (64 at time

1 and 22 at time 2) and multiplied the results by the total number of beneficiaries

involved in the initiative (258).

• The change in health and social care usage among the sample over the period between the

timepoints was small but evidenced an overall trend towards reduction. The reduced

usage equates to a saving of £146 per person, which if scaled up to 258 beneficiaries over

the course of the programme could indicate a saving of £102,871.6. (This figure must be

viewed with caution as it reflects a substantial change in costs among just one of the 22

time 2 participants).

• The change in the EQ5D measure of wellbeing allowed us to calculate the change in

‘Quality Adjusted Life Years’ over the course of the 3-6 month period of the survey.

Using the n=258 beneficiary estimates, there is a gain of 11.15 QALYs annually in the

second year of the intervention (12 months) across the beneficiaries. The overall benefits

of the programme from the QALYs in monetary terms are estimated at £204,291.

• The overall cost of the AFN programme was £243,000, so the savings associated with

improved health and reduced care costs suggest an overall saving of £62,929 or a return

of £1.26 per £1 spent. This compares favourably with comparable Social Prescribing

interventions assessed over a similar timeframe. In addition, the economic benefit of

volunteering as a direct result of the programme could be as high as £198,603.

17

10. Discussion and Conclusion

• Our multimethod evaluation of the AFN pilot intervention allows us to consider the

various forms of impact that the programme has had and to ascertain an overview of its

efficacy.

• In terms of the design of the programme, there is much evidence supporting the

community inclusion-based approach to tackling loneliness as well as on the emphasis on

volunteering and community activation.

• There is also a wide array of evidence attesting to the fundamentally important service

that AFN provides to older isolated individuals and the transformative impact it has upon

their lives. This is backed up by quantitative evidence as to the improvements in

participants’ health and in particular the marked benefits of volunteering on wellbeing.

• While any assessment of costs needs to be carefully caveated in terms of the limits of the

data collected and the analyses conducted, we do see the green shoots of success in terms

of health as well as health care and social care usage. Given the short timeframe of the

intervention, this is an impressive result.

• A more substantial and significant estimate is the financial benefits of volunteering which

stand in addition to the health costings.

• In terms of recommendations, we suggest that AFN could do more to develop a clearer

focus and rationale for its activities. This would help distinguish it from other initiatives,

evidence its accomplishments and successes and establish familiarity among target

communities.

• A clearer rationale for how and why AFN works would also allow a differentiated

approach to communities such as Beeston and Ladybrook which clearly have different

needs and responses to outside initiatives.

18

• A stronger emphasis on the volunteering aspect of AFN and its implications for

sustainable community development would also help showcase its financial viability.